Tuesday, August 2, 2016

Assumptions of the future (part 2/5)

That's one scenario—running out of power. It may be true, because the Semiconductor Industry Association meets every year to discuss how transistors can be made smaller, and they have recently conceded that they probably won't be able to get any smaller than they are now. What does this mean? It means computers cannot continue to get any faster than the current transistors can handle—we may have hit a technological barrier, at least, until a substitute technology can be made for transistors and something else can power computer circuits. We live in an exciting era, where new technologies are constantly emerging, but that may change. We may see stagnation in technological advancement over the next few decades, and our current era may be looked upon, in the eyes of history, as a brief technological boom that died out with a whimper.

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